What is Expected Value (EV) for sealed TCG products?

EV is the statistical average total value of cards you would open if you cracked a box. It multiplies each rarity's average market price by how often that rarity appears per pack, then scales up to a full box. An EV ratio above 1.0 means the contents are worth more than the retail price on average — but remember, any single box can vary significantly from the average.

How are pull rates calculated?

Pull rates are approximate values based on publicly known pack structures for each TCG (e.g., 1 rare per pack, 1 mythic per 8 packs). They are not official rates released by publishers. Actual pull rates may vary by set, printing run, and box configuration.

Why might EV seem high?

EV calculations assume you pull exactly the average rate for every rarity slot. In practice, variance is high — especially for rare and mythic slots. A single expensive pull can dramatically skew a box's value. EV is a long-run average across many boxes, not a guarantee for any individual box.

Are the card prices live?

Card prices reflect the latest near-mint market values from our daily price sync. Prices update every 24 hours. Sealed product retail prices are also updated daily from our price tracking pipeline.

How often is this data updated?

Card prices update daily as part of our automated pipeline. Sealed product prices update daily after the 08:30 UTC sealed sync. ISR caches this page for up to 1 hour.

Sealed EV Calculator

Estimate the expected value of opening sealed TCG products. Select a game and product to see a rarity-by-rarity EV breakdown.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Expected Value (EV) for sealed TCG products?: EV is the statistical average total value of cards you would open if you cracked a box. It multiplies each rarity's average market price by how often that rarity appears per pack, then scales up to a full box. An EV ratio above 1.0 means the contents are worth more than the retail price on average — but remember, any single box can vary significantly from the average.
How are pull rates calculated?: Pull rates are approximate values based on publicly known pack structures for each TCG (e.g., 1 rare per pack, 1 mythic per 8 packs). They are not official rates released by publishers. Actual pull rates may vary by set, printing run, and box configuration.
Why might EV seem high?: EV calculations assume you pull exactly the average rate for every rarity slot. In practice, variance is high — especially for rare and mythic slots. A single expensive pull can dramatically skew a box's value. EV is a long-run average across many boxes, not a guarantee for any individual box.
Are the card prices live?: Card prices reflect the latest near-mint market values from our daily price sync. Prices update every 24 hours. Sealed product retail prices are also updated daily from our price tracking pipeline.
How often is this data updated?: Card prices update daily as part of our automated pipeline. Sealed product prices update daily after the 08:30 UTC sealed sync. ISR caches this page for up to 1 hour.

151 Binder Collection

Worth Opening

EV ratio of 1.42x — every $1 spent on retail returns approximately $1.42 in card value on average.

EV Per Pack$8.58

EV Per Box$308.79

Retail Price$218.14

EV Ratio1.42x

Packs/Box36

Priced Cards216

Rarity Breakdown

EV breakdown by rarity for 151 Binder Collection
Rarity	Cards in Set	Avg Price	Value Range	Pull Rate	EV Contribution
Special Illustration Rare	7	$93.51	$14.78 – $299.91	1 in 25 packs	$3.74
Illustration Rare	16	$39.64	$10.86 – $83.16	1 in 25 packs	$1.59
Ultra Rare	16	$10.83	$2.61 – $37.05	1 in 17 packs	$0.65
Hyper Rare	3	$10.49	$2.63 – $24.28	1 in 33 packs	$0.31
Double Rare	13	$4.29	$1.15 – $23.40	1 in 10 packs	$0.43
Rare	25	$0.56	$0.24 – $3.24
Total EV per pack					$8.58

Top Pulls in This Set

151 Mini Tin Display Case

$1,886.95

Charizard ex - 199/165

Special Illustration Rare

$299.91

Blastoise ex - 200/165

Special Illustration Rare

$106.86

EV is estimated using approximate pull rates based on publicly known pack structures. Actual pull rates and box contents vary. This is a statistical average across many boxes — individual results will differ. Card prices update daily.

Sealed EV Calculator

Frequently Asked Questions

Related Tools

151 Binder Collection

Rarity Breakdown

Top Pulls in This Set